Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.079259 0.088721 0.098448 0.109166 0.120617 0.132455 0.145592
2025-03-02 0.066105 0.080393 0.095835 0.113635 0.133459 0.154737 0.179180
2025-03-09 0.052730 0.069403 0.088282 0.110928 0.137052 0.165960 0.200085
2025-03-16 0.042279 0.060090 0.081162 0.107368 0.138539 0.173929 0.216649
2025-03-23 0.037710 0.057063 0.080777 0.111095 0.147989 0.190665 0.243000
2025-03-30 0.033458 0.053821 0.079622 0.113461 0.155495 0.204921 0.266371
2025-04-06 0.030669 0.052103 0.080065 0.117547 0.164907 0.221347 0.292296
2025-04-13 0.026616 0.048175 0.077255 0.117183 0.168575 0.230700 0.309705
2025-04-20 0.025707 0.048561 0.080076 0.124024 0.181257 0.251062 0.340471
2025-04-27 0.021960 0.044367 0.076335 0.121969 0.182435 0.257149 0.353840
2025-05-04 0.020428 0.043364 0.076898 0.125560 0.190815 0.272161 0.378170
2025-05-11 0.017867 0.040443 0.074499 0.124939 0.193571 0.280047 0.393683
2025-05-18 0.017074 0.040508 0.076663 0.130984 0.205647 0.300412 0.425644
2025-05-25 0.015963 0.039944 0.077878 0.135771 0.216213 0.319109 0.455901
2025-06-01 0.013164 0.036024 0.073701 0.132654 0.215976 0.323848 0.468573
2025-06-08 0.010578 0.032059 0.069103 0.128628 0.214262 0.326505 0.478498
2025-06-15 0.009847 0.031613 0.070093 0.132809 0.223876 0.344005 0.507454
2025-06-22 0.008922 0.030627 0.070102 0.135463 0.231346 0.358712 0.532905
2025-06-29 0.008396 0.030423 0.071385 0.140045 0.241555 0.377110 0.563225
2025-07-06 0.007175 0.028455 0.069494 0.139636 0.244619 0.385972 0.581219
2025-07-13 0.007197 0.029408 0.072752 0.147296 0.259298 0.410491 0.619723
2025-07-20 0.005914 0.026949 0.069760 0.144996 0.259557 0.415570 0.632855
2025-07-27 0.005526 0.026699 0.070746 0.149014 0.268990 0.433097 0.662378